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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 7th, 2012–Dec 8th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary.

Confidence

Fair - Due to variable snowpack conditions

Weather Forecast

Overnight and Saturday: Light to locally moderate snowfall on Friday night with clearing on Saturday / moderate southwest winds becoming light and northwest with clearing / Freezing level at 500mSunday: Light snowfall / light northwest winds / Freezing level at surfaceMonday: Light snowfall / light west winds / Freezing level at 700m

Avalanche Summary

No avalanches were reported from the region on Friday. This may speak more to a lack of observations than actual avalanche activity.

Snowpack Summary

Snowfall amounts have been mostly moderate over the past week with significantly greater accumulations occurring in the Kootenay Pass area where well over a metre of snow has fallen since the end of November. Current surfaces most likely include varying amounts of fairly low density storm snow which override windslabs which formed earlier in the week.Below the recent storm snow is a layer of surface hoar that was buried at the end of November. This layer continues to be reactive.At the base of the snowpack sits the early November rain crust. This layer seems most likely to be found in deeper snowpack areas at higher elevations. I'm not aware of any activity on this layer in the Kootenay Boundary region; however, deep and destructive releases have been observed in the South Columbia region (directly to the north). This indicates to me that, where it exists, this layer may now be primed for triggering.There are significant variations in snowpack structure from one drainage to another. In short, digging down and making your own observations will be critical to safe slope selection. Any observations from the field are welcome at [email protected].

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.