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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 1st, 2018–Dec 2nd, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Glacier.

Don't be caught off guard with short days and early season hazards below treeline. Remember to leave plenty of time to get back to the trailhead safely.

Weather Forecast

A cold air mass moving down from the north will bring cooler temperatures and dry conditions for the next several days. For today, expect a mix of sun and cloud, no precipitation, an alpine temperature of -8, light winds and freezing levels at 900m. The high pressure system will be fully established by early next week.

Snowpack Summary

40cm of snow covers a surface hoar or suncrust layer at TL & sheltered ALP locations. Winds have created a soft slab on this layer in specific lee or cross-loaded features. The October 26th crust near ground may be poorly bonded on some high elevation north aspects.

Avalanche Summary

Small loose dry point releases out of steep N aspects in the alpine have been observed in the past 48hrs. Snow stability tests show resistant planar results in the upper snowpack indicating that human triggering is possible.

Confidence

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.