Avalanche Forecast

Good

Is spring the new winter? Waves of precipitation will continue overnight Friday and into Saturday. Saturday will see precipitation amounts 5-15 mm, ridgetop winds moderate from the SW and freezing levels 1500-1700 m. A dry day with a mix of sun and cloud is forecast on Sunday as the Pacific ridge crosses the province. Monday will see somewhat cooler temperatures with freezing levels near 1100 m and light precipitation 3-10 mm. Unsettled conditions will continue as a series of fronts and ridges move across the region next week.

On Thursday, numerous size 1-2 storm slabs and loose dry avalanches up to 1.5 were reported. Wednesday, several natural slab avalanches and skier triggered avalanches up to size 2 were reported. Most of these avalanches failed on north- easterly aspects above 2000 m. With forecast snow, rain and wind, natural avalanche activity is expected to continue tomorrow.

At higher elevations, up to 20-50 cm of snow sits over a plethora of old surfaces including wind affected surfaces, and/or old wind slabs and crusts which were buried mid-March. Previous strong winds have redistributed new snow into wind slabs on leeward terrain features and lower elevations (below 2000 m) are sporting spring-like, melt-freeze conditions. Digging deeper (40-70 cm below the surface) sits the mid-February facet/ crust interface. This interface has not been as reactive in the South unlike regions to the North. However, it is alive and well in test profiles. It may just require additional load and/ or a change in slab properties before it reaches threshold and becomes reactive. The late-Jan crust/surface hoar layer (around 1m deep) and the mid-January surface hoar (around 1.5m deep) have been dormant for several weeks.