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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 1st, 2012–Dec 2nd, 2012
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Northwest Inland.

Limited field observations and reports exist from this region. Conditions may be variable. It is important to be familiar with the snowpack and avalanche problems that may exist in your local mountains.

Confidence

Poor - Due to limited field observations for the entire period

Weather Forecast

The recent weather pattern continues, with a very persistent deep low off the coast driving a moist, mild SW flow mostly over the southern parts of the province. In the North the arctic air will being to retreat on Sunday. Light accumulations are expected to continue accompanied by light-moderate SW winds. Seasonal normal temperatures will exist.Sunday: Fzlvl’s 500 m, snow amounts up to 5 cm, ridgetop winds SE 25 km/hr, alpine temps -6.Monday: Fzlvl’s surface, snow amounts near 5 cm, ridgetop winds SE 20 km/hr, alpine temps -6.Tuesday: Fzlvl’s 200 m, snow amounts up to 20 cm, ridgetop winds E 30 km/hr, and alpine temps -8.

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanches have been reported. Currently, information is extremely sparse for this region. If you have been out exploring the backcountry and enjoying the snow, please share your snowpack and /or avalanche observations with us.Email info to forecaster.ca.

Snowpack Summary

Storm slab and wind slab instabilities exist at treeline and in alpine locations. They may be touchy to rider triggers; especially on leeward slopes and behind terrain features where pockets of wind slab easily build. At treeline depths in the southern part of the region range between 70 – 125 cm, but highly variable in the alpine with deep wind drifts and scoured slopes in exposed areas. Generally, the mid-pack is gaining strength and possibly even bridging the persistent weakness below.Digging down deeper is the early November facet/crust persistent layer. This crust sits near the base of the snowpack down 70-110 cm. Test results on this layer earlier this week produced moderate (drops) I have no current obs to suggest the snow above or below this interface is gaining strength, or weakening. In most areas, because this weakness is located near the ground, any associated avalanche activity will likely be limited to slopes with smooth ground cover.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Storm and wind slabs have formed; especially on lee slopes, gully features, and behind ridges. Natural avalanche activity is possible with continued loading. Rider triggering is likely, especially on steep convex slopes.
Whumpfing, shooting cracks and recent avalanches are all strong indicators of an unstable snowpack.>Avoid convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 4

Persistent Slabs

Basal facet/crust weaknesses are often prone to remote triggering and step down avalanches. Typical trigger points include thin rocky areas. They may be difficult to trigger, but deep persistent slab avalanches are often very large.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 6