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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Nov 19th, 2021–Nov 20th, 2021
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Glacier.

Travel below 1800m is rugged!

Allow extra time for egress to navigate the awkward crust extravaganza.

Weather Forecast

Tonight: trace of snow, freezing level (fzl) 500m, wind from the SW 25-45km/h

Tomorrow: trace of snow, fzl 900m, wind SW 30-40km/h

Sunday: 5cm snow, fzl rising to 1100m, wind SW 30km/h

Snowpack Summary

On Wednesday, our team dug a profile at treeline on a SE aspect @ ~2100m on Mt Fidelity. Our profile showed a height of snow of 222cm with the top 140cm being storm snow. No significant test results were observed within the storm snow at this location. The November 15th crust is widespread below 1800m, and makes travel exceptionally poor.

Avalanche Summary

No new natural or human triggered avalanches have been observed or reported from the back country and highway corridors. We registered the Howitzers yesterday firing artillery at very steep terrain in the highway corridor with little to no result. And for those that missed it, there was a very large avalanche cycle on Sunday and Monday to size 4!

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

With the increase in wind values this weekend, fresh windslabs are likely to form near ridge-crests and on cross loaded features. There is a lot of snow available for transport in the alpine!

  • Use caution in lee and cross-loaded terrain near ridge crests.
  • Carefully evaluate terrain features by digging and testing on adjacent, safe slopes.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2