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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 1st, 2025–Feb 3rd, 2025
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

The change is here!

30+ cm of snow has fallen in the last 48 hours along the spray.

This has triggered a natural avalanche cycle. Conservative terrain choices are paramount while the snowpack adjusts with the change.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Forecasters out today heard continuous rumbles of loose dry avalanches off steep cliff features. There was also a small soft slab in a gully feature below treeline. We expect there was natural cycle to some degree today. Zero visibility throughout the day so no direct observations while travelling.

Snowpack Summary

Friday through Saturday produced 30+ cm of snow with strong winds. The spray valley feels like winter again. This now overlies all of the previous layers from the whole of January. Hard wind affected surfaces, Facets and crusts on solar aspects. Below this is a mostly a faceted snowpack to ground. The big change is in your mindset. We are leaving the green brick, so step back, and evaluate the changing avalanche danger.

Weather Summary

Saturday: The storm produced, Finally!

20+ cm on the weather stations and the storm was quiet intense during the later part of the morning.

Sat night: 5cm more snow expected and temps dropping to -19 winds will be out of the South, gusting to 45km/h

Sunday: Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries. Day time high of -19 and overall light winds at ridge top.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Approach lee and cross-loaded slopes with caution.
  • Be careful as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.
  • Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.
  • Dial back your terrain choices if you are seeing more than 20 cm of new snow.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind prone features, such as lee and cross-loaded gullies could have dense wind slabs.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Storm Slabs

30+cm of new snow at tree line elevations was showing storm slab properties in the field today.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Loose Dry

30+ cm of new snow is sluffing easily in steep terrain, especially where it is sitting on a sun crust.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Very Likely - Certain

Expected Size: 1 - 2