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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 16th, 2016–Jan 17th, 2016
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Kananaskis.

The biggest issue is the facetted structure of the upper snowpack. The propensity for skier or cornice triggered loose dry avalanches persists in steep confined gulleys on ice routes as well as large, steep & uniform ski slopes.

Confidence

High

Weather Forecast

Mainly cloudy with sunny breaks with a snowball's chance in hell of new snow.  Winds will be westerly moderate to strong in the alpine.  Freezing levels will be at valley bottom for Sunday.

Avalanche Summary

Some loose snow avalanches reported and observed up to 1.5 with skier traffic or from explosive control work.

Snowpack Summary

Little to no change in the snowpack other than a paltry 5 centimeters of new snow on the 14th of January.  The snowpack areas that have 70-80 centimeters or more supports well enough and below threshold depth, the snowpack has little to offer in the way of structure or support.  The entire upper third of the snowpack is facetted in the alpine and treeline and below it is rotten right to the ground.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Dry

Be cautious of sluffing in steep terrain.>Be very cautious with gully features.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Wind Slabs

Choose well supported terrain without convexities.>Avoid steep slopes below cornices.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3