Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Glacier.
A widespread storm slab is developing as temperatures rise over the next few days.
Avoid avalanche terrain until the freezing levels come back down.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
A widespread natural avalanche cycle is expected to begin Sunday evening. Size and frequency will increase as freezing levels rise through Tuesday.
Snowpack Summary
An additional 10- 20cm on Sunday brings our weekly storm total ~70cm. Rising temperatures and recent moderate to strong SW wind has created a wind spread storm slab at all elevations.
The March 5th interface is down 50-100cm and consists of a crust &/or surface hoar.
Two persistent weak layers (PWL) of facetted snow from cold temps in Jan/Feb are now buried 120-160cm beneath the surface.
Weather Summary
Steady moisture and skyrocketing freezing levels continuing into next week.
Tonight Snow ~13cm. Wind SW 20-40 km/h. Freezing level (FZL) 1400m.
Mon Scattered flurries, trace precipitation. Alpine high -3°C. SW winds gusting 45km/h. FZL 1800m.
Tues Snow, 13cm. Wind SW 25-gusting 50km/hr. Alpine high 2°C. FZL 2400m.
Wed Mainly cloudy, trace precipitation. Wind SW 15-25km/h. Alpine high 5°C. FZL 3100m.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Watch for fresh storm slabs building throughout the day.
- Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
Avalanche Problems
Storm Slabs
Continued snowfall and rising temperatures have created a widespread storm slab problem.
Expect these surface slabs to be most reactive in terrain exposed to the SW winds or at lower elevations where rain on snow is possible.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Very Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2.5
Persistent Slabs
A persistent weak layer (PWL), buried March 5th, is now down 60-120cm in the snowpack. Depending on aspect and elevation, this layer may be suncrust, facets and/or surface hoar.
This layer may wake up with the incoming load of new snow and wind!
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 2.5 - 3.5