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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 28th, 2020–Mar 30th, 2020
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Coast.

New snow and strong winds are creating dangerous avalanche conditions.

Confidence

Low - Uncertainty is due to limitations in the field data.

Weather Forecast

Saturday night: Cloudy, 20-30 cm of new snow above 1100 m, strong southwest wind, freezing level dropping to 1000 m in the afternoon, treeline temperatures reach -3 C.

Sunday: Mix of sun and cloud, 5-10 cm of new snow, moderate southwest wind, freezing level rising to 1000 m in the afternoon, treeline temperatures reach -2 C. 

Monday: Mostly cloudy, 10-20 cm of new snow, moderate southwest wind, freezing level rising to 800 m in the afternoon, treeline temperatures reach -5 C. 

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, 5-10 cm of new snow, light southwest wind, freezing level rising to 800 m in the afternoon, treeline temperatures reach -5 C. 

Avalanche Summary

Slab avalanches are a concern on slopes with accumulations of new snow, especially in wind-loaded terrain. No recent avalanches have been reported, but mountain travel and field observations have been very limited.

Snowpack Summary

The weekend storm brought snow, rain, and strong southwest winds to the region, elevating the avalanche hazard. Snowfall amounts have proven difficult to forecast but sufficient enough to build widespread, reactive storm slabs at upper elevations. 

15-25 cm of snow from earlier in the week covers a variety of snow surfaces including crusts, warm snow, and wind-affected snow. There is some uncertainty about how well the new snow has bonded to these interfaces. The snowpack is well-settled. Snowpack depths diminish rapidly with elevation, with 300-400 cm at treeline and no snow below 700 m.

Terrain and Travel

  • Storm snow and wind is forming touchy slabs. Use caution in lee areas in the alpine and treeline.
  • Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

New snow and strong wind are expected to build widespread, reactive storm slabs at upper elevations. There is uncertainty as to how well these slabs will bond to underlying interfaces. 

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5