Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - The weather pattern is stable

MONDAY: Mix of sun and cloud/ alpine temperatures near -13/ generally light winds from the northwest/ freezing level valley bottomTUESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud/ alpine temperatures near -14/ ridgetop winds light from the northwest/ freezing level valley bottomWEDNESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud/ alpine temperatures -12/ ridgetop winds light from the northeast/ freezing level valley bottom.

No new reports. With little for avalanche observations and low confidence of the buried surface hoar distribution, I suspect that human triggered avalanches remain possible, especially where deeper deposits of storm snow or wind slab sit above the buried weak layer. I also suggest keeping the basal crust on your radar. Larger slab avalanches have failed on these crust in the South Columbia Region. The general pattern shows that it needs a large trigger. If triggered these avalanches have been large and destructive up to size 3. Steeper, thin-thick rocky alpine slopes and bowl features are more suspect.If you got out this weekend please submit your observations to the Mountain Information Network.

The early season snowpack is highly variable in this region. Approximately 20 cm of recent snow fell earlier this week which may have been blown into wind slabs on exposed northerly and northeasterly slopes. Expect loose dry, unconsolidated snow sluffing from steeper, rocky terrain features. In some places, there are two layers of feathery surface hoar being reported, one around 20 cm below the surface and one down 35 cm. One or both of these may be associated with a crust on south aspects. The most likely places to trigger one of these layers is in deeper snow areas in shady spots on smooth slopes. A prominent feature of the snowpack is a combination of a crust and underlying sugary, faceted snow found near the base of the snowpack. It may be possible to release an avalanche on smooth slopes in the alpine.