Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Feb 11th, 2023 4:00PM
The alpine rating is , the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include Persistent Slabs, Deep Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.
shorton,
Avalanche Canada
The message remains the same – a complex, and generally weak snowpack is best managed by sticking to lower angled, low consequence terrain. Large persistent slab or deep persistent slab avalanches are reported every two or three days.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Over the past week there have been continual reports of large persistent and deep persistent slab avalanches across the Purcells.
The most recent reports include a remotely triggered size 2 avalanche near Invermere on Friday, that occurred on a north aspect at 2400 m. The avalanche started on a 30 cm deep surface hoar layer and stepped down to the deep persistent weak layer. Another size 2 remote-triggered avalanche occurred on a southeast aspect at 2250 m near Golden. On Thursday, several very large persistent slab avalanches were observed west of Kimberley, including some that were remotely triggered by skiers.
Smaller size 1 to 2 wind slab avalanches have also been reported in alpine terrain over the past few days.
Snowpack Summary
20 to 60 cm of snow since late January is gradually settling and in open terrain has been redistributed by west and southwest wind. A weak layer of surface hoar, facets and crusts is buried beneath that snow, and has become reactive in the southern and western parts of the Purcells where it is more deeply buried (e.g., along Kootenay Lake and the St. Mary drainage). A layer from late November is found 75 to 150 cm deep throughout the Purcells and is part of a generally weak, faceted lower snowpack. Snowpack depths range between 90 and 200 cm at treeline, with the shallowest depths found on the eastern edge of the Purcells.
Weather Summary
Saturday night
Partly cloudy, no precipitation, 30 to 40 km/h west wind, treeline temperatures drop to -10 ºC.
Sunday
Sunny periods in the morning then increasing cloud in the afternoon, isolated flurries with trace amounts of snow, 40 to 50 km/h southwest wind, treeline temperatures to -5 °C with freezing level climbing to 1200 m.
MondayFlurries with 5 to 10 cm of new snow, 40 to 60 km/h southwest wind, treeline temperatures reach -3 °C.
TuesdayMix of sun and cloud, no significant precipitation, 20 km/h north wind, treeline temperatures drop to -10 °C.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- It's critical to stay disciplined and choose only well supported, low consequence lines.
- Use careful route-finding and stick to moderate slope angles with low consequences.
- Avoid rock outcroppings, convexities, and anywhere the snowpack is thin and/or variable.
- Avoid steep convex slopes.
- Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
Problems
Persistent Slabs
Large avalanches have been triggered on a 30 to 60 cm deep layer of surface hoar and facets that was buried in late January. This problem seems most concerning in the western and southern Purcells where the layer is more deeply buried and primed for human triggering. Steep open slopes should be avoided.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Deep Persistent Slabs
It remains possible for riders to trigger a weak layer of facets near the base of the snowpack. The most likely area to trigger it is in shallow areas with variable snow depths. Avoid thin and rocky start zones and select routes that avoid travelling through or under large avalanche paths.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Wind Slabs
Recent new snow combined with wind has formed fresh wind slabs in lee terrain features.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, North West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Feb 12th, 2023 4:00PM
