Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations. Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy, scattered flurries with up to 5 cm of snow, west winds 30-60 km/h, alpine temperature -8 C

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, scattered flurries with up to 5 cm of snow, west winds 30-60 km/h, alpine high temperature -5 C, freezing level at 500 m

Thursday: Cloudy with periods of sun, isolated flurries with a trace of precipitation, light variable winds, alpine high temperature -7 C, freezing level at 300 m

Friday: Mix of sun and cloud, isolated flurries with a trace of precipitation, light variable winds, alpine high temperature -8 C, freezing level at valley bottom

In and north of Bear Pass, storm slabs up to 15 cm in depth were initiated with explosive control work. A few natural loose dry/wind slab avalanches to size 2 were also observed on steep alpine features and were thought to be running on the early November crust. 

Natural avalanche activity is expected to taper off somewhat following the storm. However, as westerly winds continue to transport the new snow into a more cohesive layer, these storms slabs are expected to remain reactive to human triggering. 

20-40 cm of new snow is likely sitting on a mix of hard wind slabs, sugary faceted snow, and feathery surface hoar crystals, depending on location. Recent strong winds will have likely formed storm slabs reactive to human-triggering throughout the region. Total snowpack amounts are likely in the 60-120 cm range, tapering quickly at lower elevations.