Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 16th, 2012 9:00AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada triley, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Monday

Weather Forecast

Overnight and Monday: A Low pressure system moving along the U.S. border will push some precipitation up into the region. Expect 5-10 mm of precipitation falling as snow at all elevations by Monday morning. Strong SW winds during the storm should become strong NW winds after it passes to the East. Alpine Temperatures should be -7.0 during the day.Tuesday: Dry and cool with Alpine temperatures down to about -13.0 combined with strong NW winds.Wednesday:Continued dry and cool, temperatures dropping down to -16.0 in the Alpine. The next Pacific system is forecast to move in from the coast during the evening.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported.

Snowpack Summary

Thin windslabs have developed in the alpine and at treeline in exposed terrain. Some loose snow sluffing may be experienced in steep terrain. Snow pit test results continue to show weak layers of surface hoar that were buried during mid and late November, however we have not seen any activity on these layers recently. The early season rain crust is another layer that continues to show results in tests, but has not been active. Forecast new snow and strong SW winds are expected to continue to develop wind slabs in the alpine and at treeline.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Wind slabs are expected to continue to develop due to forecast new snow and strong Southwest winds.
Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>Travel on ridgetops to avoid wind slabs on slopes below.>The new snow will require several days to settle and stabilize.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
Buried surface hoar layers continue to give results in snow pit tests. This layer may be triggered from thin weak spots on or adjacent to unsupported terrain features.
Be aware of the potential for large, deep avalanches due to the presence of buried surface hoar.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 5

Valid until: Dec 17th, 2012 2:00PM

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