Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 12th, 2016 4:04PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mbender, Avalanche Canada

If the wind picks-up, new reactive wind slabs may form

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Wind speed and direction is uncertain on Tuesday

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: Mix of sun and cloud / Light to moderate north wind / Alpine temperature of -15 Wednesday: Mix of sun and cloud / Light northwest wind / Alpine temperature of -10 Thursday: Mix of sun and cloud in the north of the region. In the far south possibly light flurries / Light northerly wind / Alpine temperature -9

Avalanche Summary

Over past few days loose dry and soft wind slab avalanches to size 1.5 were reported at treeline and in the alpine. If the wind picks-up, new wind slab activity will likely occur, especially in areas where snow surfaces are loose and unconsolidated.

Snowpack Summary

20-50cm of recent low density storm snow is settling slowly due to the cold temperatures. Variable wind effect has created wind slabs in the alpine in some areas, while other operations report little or no wind resulting in loose unconsolidated snow. The depth of the mid-november crust is also variable across the region. Reports have the crust down between 100-200 cm and snowpack tests have produced a wide array of results from moderate sudden planar to hard resistant planar, and in some cases no result. Watch for near surface facets developing in the upper snowpack and a recently buried layer of surface hoar that may develop a poor bonding layer before the next storm. If you dig down to the crust, watch for facets developing above and/or below that may provide a weak layer above a smooth sliding surface in the future.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
If the wind picks-up, the light and unconsolidated surface snow will likely get redistributed into fresh wind slabs.
Avoid travelling in areas that have been reverse loaded by winds.Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Dec 13th, 2016 2:00PM