Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 21st, 2014 7:54AM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Poor - Due to the number of field observations
Weather Forecast
Flurries or light snow overnight combined with strong Westerly winds and dropping freezing levels. Drier and cooler on Monday with periods of broken skies with light Westerly winds. The next storm should move into the region sometime early on Tuesday morning and bring 5-10 cm during the day with strong Southwest winds. The storm should continue overnight and into Wednesday morning, but at this time the snowfall amounts look very light.
Avalanche Summary
Soft slab avalanches were reported during the storm from alpine North aspects up to size 1.5 on Saturday. I suspect that storm slab avalanches continued on Sunday with the additional 20-25 cm of new snow combined with strong winds.
Snowpack Summary
The new storm slab may be 40-50 cm thick in The Coquihalla and is reported to be bonding well to the December 11th crust. In the Coquihalla there is 70-100 cm of snow on the ground above 1600 metres elevation, and below threshold for avalanches below 1500 metres. The recent surface hoar has been reported to have been mostly blown away by the Northeast wind before this new storm. In the North of the region it sounds like the recent surface hoar is 2-4 mm at treeline and up to 30 mm near open creeks below treeline. The knife hard December melt-freeze crust extends up to about 2100 metres and then tapers off to nothing by 2300 metres. The new storm slab may be up to 70 cm in the North of the region, and it may not be bonding well to the old crust/ surface hoar combination. The November crust is deeply buried and may become easier to trigger in isolated areas if the load from the storm slab overcomes the bond at the crust interface.
Problems
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Deep Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 22nd, 2014 2:00PM