Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 8th, 2012 9:40AM
The alpine rating is Persistent Slabs, Wind Slabs and Storm Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Monday
Weather Forecast
Monday: 15-25cm of snow is expected Sunday night and into Monday. / Moderate to strong southwest winds / Freezing level dropping from 1500m to 600m throughout the day Tuesday: Mix of sun and cloud with light flurries / light to moderate northwest winds / Freezing level at surface Wednesday: Clear / light to moderate north winds / Freezing level at surface
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanche activity reported.
Snowpack Summary
Weaknesses within and under the 70-100+cm of storm snow that fell over the past 10 days have most likely gained some strength. More recent dribs and drabs of snow in the Duffey area (more in Coquihalla) have added to a soft wind slab that now sits on the surface on lee aspects at treeline and in the alpine.Persistent weaknesses remain a concern in the northern part of the region. Buried surface hoar on sheltered treeline slopes and below and facets with associated crusts in exposed treeline and alpine areas are probably down well over a metre in most places, and facets lurk near the base of the snowpack in shallow rocky areas. These basal facets seem to be more pronounced and reactive in the Chilcotin and on the eastern side of the Duffey.Wind-loading has resulted in highly variable slab thicknesses with the potential for fractures triggered in highly sensitive thin slab areas to propagate into highly destructive deep slab avalanches. Furthermore, weaknesses within the slab create the potential for step-down fractures.Expect further wind slab and storm slab development with forecast weather
Problems
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 9th, 2012 8:00AM