Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 25th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is low, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Loose Dry.

Avalanche Canada MM, Avalanche Canada

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Convective flurries produced 10-15cm in the West side of the park on Friday evening.

Be mindful of how the new snow is bonding to the crust and if more snow falls than forecasted, the hazard could increase.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A few small dry loose avalanches were observed in the park on Saturday running from steep terrain features.

Earlier in the week, numerous afternoon solar triggered avalanches sz 2-2.5, with isolated sz 3's. Some of these avalanches, occurring at treeline and below, have failed at the ground and gouged deep into the snowpack.

Deep persistent slabs are a concern, with a report of a cornice-triggered pocket high on Mt Smart failing to glacial ice, as well as a deep slab on Mt Fidelity.

Snowpack Summary

10-15cm of new snow covers widespread crusts on solar aspects and patchy surface hoar in sheltered terrain. Warm temperatures have rapidly settled the snowpack this week.

Below this is a generally strong snowpack, however the basal weakness of rounding facets/decomposing crust near the ground should factor into how you use the terrain.

Weather Summary

A broad upper trough will continue to create unsettled weather through Sunday bringing isolated flurries. On Monday a ridge of high pressure from the north invades the province bringing dry air and a clearing trend.

Tonight: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries, Alp low -8*C, light W ridge winds , FZL 1000 m

Sun: Mainly cloudy, scattered flurries up to 4cm, Alp high -6, light ridge winds, FZL 1400m

Mon: Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries, Alp high -6*C, light ridge winds, FZL 1500m

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the crust.
  • Dial back your terrain choices if you are seeing more than 25cm of new snow.

Problems

Loose Dry

An icon showing Loose Dry

Convective flurries have produced more snow than anticipated in isolated areas of the park.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Mar 26th, 2023 4:00PM