Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 6th, 2023 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeConservative terrain travel is recommended, as new slabs may form over the day.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Widespread natural avalanche activity was observed over the past few days during intense stormy conditions. Storm slabs are releasing at high elevations and loose wet at lower elevations.
Looking forward, new storm slabs may form over the day on Thursday. There's also a possibility that riders could still trigger the weak layer of surface hoar described in the Snowpack Summary, which is most likely at higher elevations.
Snowpack Summary
Around 10 to 20 cm of snow is forecast, which will accumulate onto about 20 cm of wet snow. All of this rests on a buried weak layer of feathery surface hoar and/or sugary faceted grains, which may be associated with a hard melt-freeze crust. It is possible that the recent rain destroyed this layer, but it may linger still, particularly at higher elevations.
The middle and base of the snowpack is largely weak and faceted. A hard crust may be found near the ground.
Treeline snowpack depths are variable and generally range between 30 and 80 cm. Snowpack tapers rapidly as you move lower in elevation.
Weather Summary
Wednesday Night
Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of snow, southwest alpine wind 10 to 20 km/h, treeline temperature -4 °C, freezing level 1300 m.
Thursday
Cloudy with 5 to 15 cm of snow, northwest alpine wind 10 to 20 km/h, treeline temperature -5 °C, freezing level 1200 m.
Friday
Mostly clear skies with no precipitation, northwest alpine wind 10 to 20 km/h, treeline temperature -10 °C.
Saturday
Mix of sun and cloud with no precipitation, south alpine wind 10 to 20 km/h, treeline temperature -12 °C.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Watch for fresh storm slabs building throughout the day.
- Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the old surface.
- Be aware of the potential for larger than expected storm slabs due to the presence of buried surface hoar.
- Early season avalanches at any elevation have the potential to be particularly dangerous due to obstacles that are exposed or just below the surface.
Problems
Storm Slabs
New storm slabs may form as snow accumulates on Thursday. It may also remain possible for riders to trigger a weak layer found about 20 to 40 cm deep.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 7th, 2023 4:00PM