Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Glacier.
Weather Forecast
Today will be warm and sunny with freezing levels are expected to rise as high as 3600m, and alpine temps in the shade reaching 10'C. Overnight temps are expected to drop below freezing which will finally allow an overnight recovery and the beginning of a melt-freeze cycle. Sat and Sun should be mostly sunny with alpine temps reaching 4'C.
Snowpack Summary
At treeline and above a ~30cm storm slab overlies a crust. Below the crust the upper ~70cm of snow is warm, moist and weak. Sustained S'ly winds at ridgetop will have built deeper, more cohesive slabs on lee and cross-loaded slopes. At 1300m the surface crust that formed overnight is only 3cm thick with a very weak overnight recovery.
Avalanche Summary
Natural avalanches continue to occur daily with loose wet avalanches running to valley bottom. They have been occurring primarily from aspects where the start zones are in the sun. On Wed a skier triggered a size 2.5 on the headwall of Youngs Peak; a W aspect at ~2675m. The avalanche was 20-80cm deep and ran 150m. Luckily the skier was not buried.
Confidence
Avalanche Problems
Loose Wet
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 2 - 3
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Cornices
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 2 - 3