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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 28th, 2019–Jan 29th, 2019
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Northwest Inland.

Previous snow and wind has formed wind slabs at upper elevations that may be sitting on a weak layer. These may be reactive to human triggers, especially in wind loaded areas.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

MONDAY NIGHT - Clear periods / light southerly winds / alpine low temperature near -1 / possible alpine temperature inversion TUESDAY - Mainly cloudy with flurries beginning in the afternoon / southwest winds 10-30 km/h / alpine high temperature near +1 / possible alpine temperature inversionWEDNESDAY - Mainly cloudy with flurries, up to 5 cm / southwest winds 30-60 km/h / alpine high temperature near -2 THURSDAY - Periods of snow, 5-10 cm / southwest winds, 10-20 km/h / alpine high temperature near -2

Avalanche Summary

A widespread natural avalanche cycle to size 3 was reported north of Hazelton on Sunday. Another notable report from the same area was of a remotely triggered (triggered from a distance) size 2.5 avalanche on a southwest aspect at 1650 m on Sunday. The report suggests that this avalanche may have triggered two more size 2 avalanches nearby.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 30 cm of recent snow has been blown into wind slabs at upper elevations. Due to previous variable wind directions, wind slabs may be found on all aspects in some areas.In the alpine and at upper treeline elevations, this recent snow likely sits on a weak layer of surface hoar (feathery crystals) in wind sheltered areas. At lower elevations, the recent precipitation fell as rain. The surface has formed a melt-freeze crust below treeline, and into treeline in some areas as well.Generally speaking, areas north of Hazelton received the highest snowfall amounts in the last storm, while the south of the region received less. The northern areas have had more avalanche activity as a result of this, as noted in the Avalanche Summary. The bottom 30 to 50 cm of the snowpack consists of a weak combination of facets (sugary snow) and crusts, particularly in areas where the snowpack is shallow. It may be possible for large triggers such as cornice failures or rock fall to trigger avalanches on this layer.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Up to 30 cm of snow has been redistributed by previous strong winds. Wind direction was variable, so wind slabs may be found on all aspects. This snow may be sitting on a weak layer of surface hoar (feathery crystals).
Be careful with wind loaded pockets near ridge crests and roll-overs.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2