Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 11th, 2022 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada JSmith, Avalanche Canada

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10-20 cm of forecast snow and moderate west winds on Friday night will form fresh storm slabs that will be most reactive in wind affected terrain. 

Start in simple terrain and use small slopes with low consequence to test the bond of the new snow.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain.

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY NIGHT: Snow; 10-20 cm / Moderate west winds / Low of -7 / Freezing level valley bottom.

SATURDAY: Flurries; 3-5 cm / Light southwest wind / High of -1 / Freezing level 1300 m.

SUNDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries; 0-5 cm / Light southwest wind / High of 0 / Freezing level 1500 m.

MONDAY: Flurries; 5-10 cm / Moderate southwest wind / High of 1 / Freezing level 1600 m.

Avalanche Summary

A few skier triggered size 1 wind slabs primarily on northerly aspects in the alpine were reported on Thursday.

Heavy loads, such as cornice failures, can trigger large avalanches on deeply buried weak layers.

Snowpack Summary

10-20 cm of forecast snow and moderate west winds on Friday night will form fresh storm slabs that will be most reactive in wind affected terrain.

The new snow will be sitting on a variety of surfaces including hard wind affected snow, sun crusts on southerly slopes, and surface hoar on shady or sheltered slopes. Expect storm slabs to be most reactive where they are sitting on either a sun crust or surface hoar.

The late February persistent weak layer combination of crust, facets and surface hoar is down 30-40 cm. Reports suggest this layer is becoming less reactive in most areas.

Two persistent weak layers from mid February and late January are buried 50-120cm deep. No recent avalanches have been reported on these layers but they continue to produce the occasional notable result in snowpack tests.

The most likely triggers of these persistent weak layers are large triggers such as smaller avalanches in motion, cornices, or snowmobiles.

Terrain and Travel

  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Avoid freshly wind loaded features, especially near ridge crests, roll-overs and in steep terrain.
  • Potential for wide propagation exists, fresh slabs may rest on surface hoar, facets and/or crust.
  • Minimize your exposure time below cornices.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

10-20 cm of forecast snow and moderate west winds on Friday night will form fresh storm slabs that will be most reactive in wind affected terrain.

Cornices are very large in many areas. Cornice failures may trigger large avalanches on the slopes below.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Mar 12th, 2022 4:00PM