Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 22nd, 2015 3:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Loose Wet.

Avalanche Canada pgoddard, Avalanche Canada

Danger ratings reflect conditions during the hottest part of the day. When it is cool, danger ratings will be low.

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Wednesday

Weather Forecast

Expect warm and mainly dry weather until late Monday, with the freezing level around 2800 m. Light precipitation begins early Tuesday, before a Pacific disturbance brings up to 15 mm precipitation on Wednesday/Thursday. The freezing level is expected to be near 800 m through the storm. Winds are moderate to strong south-westerly on Monday, before switching to moderate north-westerlies.

Avalanche Summary

Small loose wet avalanches have been failing on steep sunny slopes. Skiers triggered small thin wind slabs on Saturday. In the far north, two cornices collapsed on Friday and each triggered a size 3 slab on the slope below. Avalanche danger is expected to be lower in the cool parts of the day, and rise during warm, sunny periods. As temperatures rise, keep in mind the possibility of glide slabs releasing on smooth rock surfaces - avoid traveling on or under slopes sporting glide cracks.

Snowpack Summary

In general, the snowpack is strong, but may weaken during peak warming periods. Cornices may fail with warm temperatures. Wind slabs may be found in the alpine. On steep, sunny slopes, it is likely that soft, moist snow will develop by day, and crusts may form at night. Below treeline, the snowpack is generally strong and uniform. A layer of surface hoar buried in the upper snowpack has been reported in some areas, and is worth investigating before committing to any big alpine terrain. In general, the mid and lower snowpack are strong and well-settled. At the base of the snowpack, weak facets may be found. Smooth rock slabs may act as a sliding surface for the entire snowpack to glide on in specific locations as temperatures rise.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Wind slabs may be found on lee and cross-loaded terrain at and above treeline. Cornices are fragile and may collapse, especially during warm periods.
Avoid steep slopes below cornices.>Travel on ridgetops to avoid wind slabs on slopes below.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet
Watch for loose wet avalanches on steep sunny slopes.
Avoid slopes with glide cracks.>Minimize exposure to sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Feb 23rd, 2015 2:00PM