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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 22nd, 2015–Feb 23rd, 2015
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Northwest Coastal.

Danger ratings reflect conditions during the hottest part of the day. When it is cool, danger ratings will be low.

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Wednesday

Weather Forecast

Expect warm and mainly dry weather until late Monday, with the freezing level around 2800 m. Light precipitation begins early Tuesday, before a Pacific disturbance brings up to 15 mm precipitation on Wednesday/Thursday. The freezing level is expected to be near 800 m through the storm. Winds are moderate to strong south-westerly on Monday, before switching to moderate north-westerlies.

Avalanche Summary

Small loose wet avalanches have been failing on steep sunny slopes. Skiers triggered small thin wind slabs on Saturday. In the far north, two cornices collapsed on Friday and each triggered a size 3 slab on the slope below. Avalanche danger is expected to be lower in the cool parts of the day, and rise during warm, sunny periods. As temperatures rise, keep in mind the possibility of glide slabs releasing on smooth rock surfaces - avoid traveling on or under slopes sporting glide cracks.

Snowpack Summary

In general, the snowpack is strong, but may weaken during peak warming periods. Cornices may fail with warm temperatures. Wind slabs may be found in the alpine. On steep, sunny slopes, it is likely that soft, moist snow will develop by day, and crusts may form at night. Below treeline, the snowpack is generally strong and uniform. A layer of surface hoar buried in the upper snowpack has been reported in some areas, and is worth investigating before committing to any big alpine terrain. In general, the mid and lower snowpack are strong and well-settled. At the base of the snowpack, weak facets may be found. Smooth rock slabs may act as a sliding surface for the entire snowpack to glide on in specific locations as temperatures rise.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs may be found on lee and cross-loaded terrain at and above treeline. Cornices are fragile and may collapse, especially during warm periods.
Avoid steep slopes below cornices.>Travel on ridgetops to avoid wind slabs on slopes below.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Loose Wet

Watch for loose wet avalanches on steep sunny slopes.
Avoid slopes with glide cracks.>Minimize exposure to sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3