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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 5th, 2012–Mar 6th, 2012
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Coast.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Flurries are expected to end today and skies should clear by dinner time causing overnight temperatures to drop below freezing in the valley bottoms. Tuesday is forecast to be sunny with light northwest winds at ridgetops. Alpine temperatures should stay close to -10.0 in the afternoon. Steep solar aspects may see some moist snow at treeline. High pressure is expected to continue to dominate the area on Wednesday causing continued clear skies and light northerly winds. Clear skies are forecast to continue on Thursday morning. The wind is expected to veer to the southwest by the afternoon, and the freezing level may rise up to about 2200 metres in advance of the next system moving in from the Pacific.

Avalanche Summary

A couple of small size 1.0-1.5 thin slab avalanches were reported from Sunday. Some of the large rock slab features along the Coquihalla highway corridor were starting to slide; these are not in terrain suitable for recreation. I suspect that there will be reports of more activity as the storm clears and operators can see some alpine terrain.

Snowpack Summary

There has been about 50 cm in the past 24 hours in the Coquihalla area, and about 35cm in the Duffey Lake area. Moderate to strong southerly winds created windslabs in the alpine and at treeline. The freezing level went up to about 1600 metres on Sunday causing moist snow up to about 1800 metres. A trailing cold front brought the temperatures down at the same time as the most intense snowfall. A weak layer of buried stellar crystals and/or decomposed and fragmented crystals is now buried by about 70-90 cm of storm snow. The new windslabs may take a couple of days to settle and bond.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Windslabs may take a couple of days to settle and bond.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 5

Storm Slabs

New snow at higher elevations and freezing levels up to about 1500 metres have developed a reactive storm slab.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 6

Persistent Slabs

New snow will add to the load above the persistent weak layers of preserved stellars, facets, buried surface hoar and crusts. Avalanches sliding on this layer may be large and destructive.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 3 - 6