Avalanche forecast

Northwest Coastal

Mar 4 – 5, 2014Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 13 years ago

Avalanche danger

Thu
Fri
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–4
    Strong Easterly winds continue to scour slopes and develop hard wind slabs in areas that have snow available for transport.
  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2–5
    North aspects in the alpine are the most likely slopes for human triggering the February weak layer. Avalanches releasing on this deeply buried persistent weak layer may be large and destructive.

Confidence

Fair - Wind effect is extremely variable

Weather Forecast

A fairly benign weather pattern with continued outflow winds until Friday. The pattern will then change and the coastal areas will see light-moderate amounts of precipitation, rising freezing levels and strong SW winds.Wednesday: Sunny. Alpine temperatures near -12.0. Ridgetop winds light from the North. Slight alpine temperature inversion.Thursday: Sunny with some cloudy periods. Alpine temperatures -10.0. Ridgetop winds light from the North. Freezing levels valley bottom with a stronger alpine temperature inversion.Friday: Snow amounts 5-10 cm. Alpine temperatures -5.0. Ridgetop winds light - moderate from the SW. Freezing levels 800 m.

Avalanche Summary

Natural avalanche activity has tapered off and only sluffing from steep terrain has been reported. Over the weekend a minor natural avalanche cycle occurred in the northern part of region. Slab avalanches up to size 2 were reported from alpine and treeline cross loaded features. North aspects in the alpine continue to be the most likely slopes for triggering the February weak layer where it may be well preserved and allow for long fracture propagations resulting in very large avalanche.

Snowpack Summary

Cold arctic air has developed melt-freeze crusts on all aspects at lower elevations, and all but North aspects in the alpine. No recent reports of whumpfing or remote triggering on this weak layer of crusts and facets. Forecast strong Northeast outflow winds continue to develop wind slabs in areas that still have snow available for transport. Basal facets and/or depth hoar remain a concern in shallow snowpack areas in the northern part of the region. Cornices are also large and may become weak if northerly winds start to undercut them.

Regions covered