Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Regions
Northwest Coastal.
Expect variable conditions as outflow winds kick up. Some slopes could be blown bare while others see deep wind slabs form.
Confidence
Fair - Due to the number of field observations
Weather Forecast
Summary: Clearing and cooling with invading arctic airmass. Expect outflow winds to pick up in coastal inlets and valleys. Thursday: Clearing. Temperatures at 1500 m drop close to -20. Winds are moderate to strong from the northeast. Friday and Saturday: Mainly sunny and cold. Winds are strong from the NE with very strong outflow winds in valleys and inlets.
Avalanche Summary
Reports from Monday include a few small 10-20cm deep naturally releasing storm and wind slabs north of Stewart, as well as some sloughing on isolated steep slopes below treeline. We have had no reports from popular recreational spots in the region. Let us know what you are seeing at [email protected].
Snowpack Summary
As we begin our forecasting season, we are working with limited information from the field. Early reports suggest there's enough snow for avalanches at alpine and some treeline elevations. Recent snow has likely been redistributed by gusty and variable winds into slabs on lee slopes at alpine and treeline elevations. This snow may overlie a weak old snow surface (surface hoar, facets and/or a crust) which developed during November's dry spell. Check the bond of the snowpack at this level and take a cautious approach as new snow builds deeper above this layer.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.