Avalanche forecast

Northwest Coastal

Feb 5 – 6, 2017Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 10 years ago

Avalanche danger

Mon
Tue
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Touchy wind slabs are the main concern at treeline and above. The avalanche danger may be higher in the north of the region where very large, full depth avalanches remain a concern.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–3
    Recent strong wind has created wind slabs in alpine and tree line lees. Surface avalanches may also step down to deeper, more destructive layers.
  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    2–4
    In the north of the region, full depth avalanches continue to fail on weak layers at the base of the snowpack.

Confidence

Moderate - The weather pattern is stable

Weather Forecast

Steady weather pattern for the Northwest: Cool and mostly clear, moderate outflow winds.MONDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Moderate to strong east wind / Alpine temperature -14TUESDAY: Sunny / Moderate east wind / Alpine temperature -14WEDNESDAY: Sunny / Moderate east wind / Alpine temperature -15

Avalanche Summary

Size 2 wind slabs were remotely triggered the south Douglas zone on Saturday, releasing from shallow cross-loaded gullies. Several natural avalanches to Size 2.5 were observed in lee alpine features on Friday near Shames ski hill. (Hard) wind slabs were reactive even on small, relatively low angled slopes at treeline in the same area. In the northern most parts of the region near Bell2 or Ningunsaw there are still reports of natural and skier triggered avalanches to Size 2.5 stepping down to basal facets in the alpine and tree line.

Snowpack Summary

The snow from last week has been redistributed by continuous strong to extreme (north) easterly outflow winds, creating widespread wind effect. Touchy wind slabs on south/southwest aspects up to 45cm thick were running on relatively low angled terrain near 1300m in the Shames backcountry. At lower elevations, precipitation fell as rain and a surface (or near-surface) crust may now be found below about 1000m. Below the recent storm snow the January 18th rain crust is producing moderate sudden shears down 85cm in snowpack tests; however, it isn't showing signs of propagation being likely. The snowpack below this is generally strong and well settled. The exceptions are areas around Bear Pass and Ningunsaw where basal facets (under wind slab) remain an ongoing concern, especially in shallow snowpack areas.

Regions covered