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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 19th, 2017–Feb 20th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Travel is much better below treeline.  Exposure to large overhead hazards still a concern because of a weak faceted basal snow pack.

Confidence

-

Weather Forecast

Temperatures on Monday will be about -9c in the Alpine.  Winds are expected to be light to moderate out of the SW with only a trace of snow forecast.  Freezing level is supposed o be 1500m. 

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanche activity was observed over the past 24hrs.

Snowpack Summary

An average of 10-20cm of recent snow is now overlying a widespread temperature crust up to 2000m and up to 2400m on solar aspects.  In the Alpine, you can find thin storm slabs(up to 30cm thick).  Just below this temperature crust, there is a well settled upper snowpack still sitting on a weak faceted basal layer (down approx. 100-120cm).  This weak basal layer is still giving the forecasters little confidence in exposing ourselves to large terrain overhead.  Good skiing was found in open areas at treeline and below. 

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.