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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 30th, 2016–Mar 31st, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Temperature at Burstall Pass was 8 degrees and loose wet avalanches were widespread and the skiing was heinous. This week will see more warm temperatures so give the snowpack time to cool off before considering any real ski touring objectives.

Confidence

Moderate - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Tomorrow the freezing levels will be slightly lower, down to 2200 meters. Light northwesterly winds. No precipitation. Mix of sun and cloud.

Avalanche Summary

Widespread loose wet avalanches up to size 1.5 observed today on all steep slopes. No cornice or slab avalanches observed yet.

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack is taking on a great deal of heat with the high freezing levels. Moist snow observed today on all aspects, limited observations on north but suspect moist snow to 2500 meters, possibly higher. The upper snowpack was exhibiting surface instabilities on steep slopes. The snowpack is highly variable but at treeline, it is a complex array of crusts in the upper snowpack from the warming events in February and March and the January 6th facets which are buried up to 110cm deep. In the alpine, the snowpack is again highly variable in depth and distribution making detection of the shallow areas critical.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.