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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 7th, 2013–Jan 8th, 2013

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.

Regions

Glacier.

Additional overnight snow load with wind has continued to build a more cohesive slab over weak layers. 

Weather Forecast

Westerly flow will produce light to moderate precipitation today ahead of a low pressure system developing over the Pacific. This system is forecast to arrive to the interior region Tuesday night bringing moderate to heavy amounts.

Snowpack Summary

30cm of new snow over a facetted interface. This storm snow sits on a sun crust on steep south and west aspects. The Dec 25 surface hoar layer is down 40cm and the Jan 4 surface hoar layer is down around 25cm. These layers are more prominent between 1500 and 2000m. Well settled mid pack. Nov 6 crust is down 130 - 150cm.

Avalanche Summary

A natural avalanche cycle yesterday producing several avalanches to size 2.5 and two to size 3.0 throughout the highway corridor."Frequent Flyer" in the Connaught drainage had also run yesterday, size 2.0 , just reaching the up track.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.