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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 1st, 2015–Jan 2nd, 2015
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Kananaskis.

We are seeing a slow improvement in stability but human triggerred avalanches are still very possible.  Watch for thin weak areas as you move into treeline and above.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Flurries are forecast to cross the region over the next few days but we are not expecting to see much accumulation over the next 24hrs.

Avalanche Summary

Some new sluffing out of steeper terrain.

Snowpack Summary

Not much has changed in the last while. The winds have recently spiked with the arrival of the warm temperatures. Some snow has been redistributed, but it seems this is more pronounced at lower elevations. The persistent layers are still the prominent feature in the snowpack. The Dec 13th rain crust is down 20-30cm's at 2200m. The mid pack is giving us the strength in the snowpack. It is consistently dense and bridging the weaker deep layers. The bottom layers are now one thick layer of facets and depth hoar.

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

The Dec 13th Crust seems to disappear around 2200m. Watch for windslabs overlying this crust in and around this elevation band
Caution in lee and cross-loaded terrain near ridge crests.>Be very cautious with gully features.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

Avoid thin or variable snowpack areas especially in Alpine terrain.
Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 4