Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 19th, 2016–Feb 20th, 2016
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Kananaskis.

Choosing smart terrain is the name of the game right now. Choose supported terrain, without terrain traps. Good skiing can be found in sheltered areas at treeline.

Confidence

High

Weather Forecast

Isolated flurries tonight, not leaving much for accumulation. Alpine low will be around -6 with a freezing level of 1300m. Winds will be 25-35km/hr from the SW.Tomorrow will see more flurries with trace accumulation. Alpine high of -5. Alpine winds will still be strong from the west with gusts up to 55km/hr. Freezing level 1500m.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches

Snowpack Summary

We have yet another crust from yesterday's heat. It is thin and apparent up to 1900m. It may be higher on solar aspects. At the moment, new snow from last night has the crust down 5 cm's at valley bottom. Yesterday saw up to 14cm's of snow near the divide and 5-7 closer to the road. At treeline and above, this relatively warm snow was blown into new storm slabs. These slabs appear quite suddenly in open, exposed terrain. Expect to find them near 2100m. The buried wind slabs below are starting to heal up reasonably well, but we have seen a failure down 30cm's in some areas. Cornices are forming rapidly and should be treated with caution. Mud lake snow depth is 112cm and Burstall Pass is 159cm's.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

These are on all aspects, and have different characteristics. Some slabs are settlement slabs, wind pressed slabs and wind loading slabs. These are expected to be a short term problem.
Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Wind Slabs

These are slowly improving, but they are still showing results in stability tests. Dig to have a look at the interface and how it is behaving with the new load.
Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.>Caution in lee and cross-loaded terrain near ridge crests.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 4

Persistent Slabs

This layer can possibly wake up with large triggers. Avalanches & cornices hitting the slopes are both potential triggers.
Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.>Avoid steep slopes below cornices.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 5