Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 16th, 2024–Dec 17th, 2024
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

We need snow and it might be coming Wednesday! Until then, continue to be mindful of wind slabs at upper elevations in gully features and below ridgelines. The snowpack is still weak and shallow.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed or reported in the Kananaskis region. However, our neighbours to the NW along the Icefields Parkway in Banff National Park had 2 reported skier triggered avalanches over the weekend. Both of these incidents involved the deep persistent slab. This could be an indicator of conditions in the Kananaskis Region as well. Check the MIN reports on https://avalanche.ca/map for more details.

Snowpack Summary

Yet another day of very little change to our snowpack. The alpine is dominated by wind slabs of varying densities. Lee and cross-loaded gullies are of concern as winds have been a huge factor in recent weather patterns. Snowpack depths are around the 75cm mark at 2300m with the Oct crust still apparent near the bottom. Valley bottom depths are near threshold. Snow depths are well below average for this time of year, and the shallow weak snowpack is generally not conducive to easy travel if you leave an established skin track.

Weather Summary

Tuesday will be mainly cloudy with moderate NW winds. Temperatures should climb to -8C as a high. Very light flurries are expected through the day that will only add up to about 1cm. But after that we may finally get an early Christmas present! One forecast is calling for 20cm through the day on Wednesday, but others are saying only 4cm. Let's go with the former! Unfortunately the wind may also peak above 100km/h, but if that brings 20cm of snow, we'll take it!

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Avoid steep terrain that is rocky and thin.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs are common in alpine areas. Thin areas are potential trigger spots. Any failure of the wind slab will likely step down and involve the entire winters snowpack.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

If triggered the surface wind slabs may step down to this layer and involve the entire winters snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5