Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 4th, 2025 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada Avalanche Canada, Avalanche Canada

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Wind slabs may not be fully bonded yet in wind-loaded areas, while dangerous weak layers hide deeper in the snowpack.

Wind-sheltered, low-consequence terrain is recommended.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Large natural and human-triggered persistent slab avalanches have occurred over the past week on the persistent weak layer buried in early December. The most concerning area has been in the Goat Range.A recent avalanche, classified as a size 1.5 persistent slab, was triggered by a vehicle northwest of Kaslo on Friday. The slide occurred below treeline. This problem is slowly starting to improve, but deserves patience and continued vigilance.

Snowpack Summary

5 to 10 cm of new snow may be covering a thin sun crust on sun affected slopes, or pockets of older wind slabs in exposed areas at upper elevations.

Expect to find 20 to 30 cm of soft, settling snow in sheltered areas and in the trees.

A persistent weak layer that consists of a crust with overlying facets and/or surface hoar, is buried 60 to 110 cm. While this layer is widespread, it is expected to be most problematic on north through east-facing slopes between 1700 and 2300 m.

At treeline, snow depths range from 100 to 180 cm.

Weather Summary

Saturday night

Cloudy with 0 to 5 cm of snow. 10 to 20 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C.

Sunday

Cloudy with 0 to 5 cm of new snow. 10 to 20 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

Monday

A mix of sun and cloud. 20 to 30 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

Tuesday

Sunny. 20 to 40 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried weak layers.
  • Use conservative route selection and resist venturing into complex terrain.
  • Avoid steep terrain, including convex rolls, or areas with a thin, rocky, or variable snowpack.
  • Be careful as you transition into wind-affected terrain.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Sporadic, persistent slab avalanches continue to occur. While this avalanche problem is becoming more stubborn to trigger, it comes with serious consequences.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Recent easterly winds have formed wind slabs in a reverse loading pattern. Avoid wind-loaded areas, especially near ridge crests and rollovers.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Jan 5th, 2025 4:00PM

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