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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 1st, 2023–Jan 2nd, 2023
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Numerous buried weak layers continue to produce large avalanches. Conservative terrain choices are strongly recommended.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

We are within a period of significant avalanche activity in the Purcells, with many notable large persistent slab avalanches (e.g., this one near Golden). Buried weak layers have been easily triggered by riders and with explosives, with numerous size 2 to 3 slabs reported over the past week. These avalanches have mostly been in alpine terrain and have propagated widely across terrain features.

Triggering large persistent slab avalanches may remain a concern for a while within this region.

Snowpack Summary

Roughly 40 cm of recent snow has settled into a slab that overlies weak faceted grains. The snow is also stressing buried weak layers, including:

  • A surface hoar layer buried in mid-December that is 40 to 60 cm deep

  • Weak faceted snow and decomposing crusts near the bottom of the snowpack, ranging from 70 to 150 cm deep.

These layers have produced large avalanches over the past week and need more time to strengthen.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Clear skies with no precipitation, 10 km/h southwest wind, treeline temperature -9 °C.

Monday

Sunny with no precipitation, 10 km/h south wind, treeline temperature -6 °C.

Tuesday

Mostly sunny with no precipitation, 10 km/h south wind, treeline temperature -7 °C.

Wednesday

Cloudy with isolated flurries, 20 to 40 km/h southwest wind, treeline temperature -11 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Choose conservative terrain and watch for clues of instability.
  • Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
  • Remote triggering is a concern, watch out for adjacent and overhead slopes.
  • Back off if you encounter whumpfing, hollow sounds, or shooting cracks.

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

Multiple weak layers are found between 40 and 150 cm deep. Riders have triggered large avalanches that are propagating across terrain features. Most activity has been observed above 2100 m.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 3