Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 5th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mconlan, Avalanche Canada

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Assess for new wind slabs in wind-exposed terrain. Small avalanches may step down to deeper weak layers in the snowpack. Read about how this year's snowpack is different in our Forecasters' blog.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanche activity has been reported in the region. However, there have been several recent reports of large human-triggered avalanches in neighboring regions.

Please continue to share any observations or photos on the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

Roughly 30 to 50 cm of soft snow overlies a generally weak, facetted snowpack with multiple buried weak layers. New wind slabs are likely forming in wind-exposed terrain on northerly aspects, which may sit over a layer of reactive surface hoar and/or crust.

A layer of large and weak facets sits in the bottom of the snowpack, buried in November.

Snowpack depth is roughly 150 cm at treeline. This year's snowpack is weaker than usual, as described in our Forecasters' blog.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy with trace snowfall. Light to moderate southerly wind. Treeline high of -3 °C.

Friday

Cloudy with light snowfall, accumulation 1 to 3 cm. Light to moderate southerly wind. Freezing levels 1300 m. Treeline high of -4 °C.

Saturday

Cloudy with light snowfall, accumulation 2 to 5 cm. Moderate southerly wind. Treeline high of -4 °C.

Sunday

Cloudy with light snowfall, accumulation 2 to 5 cm. Moderate to strong southerly wind. Treeline high of -4 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Avoid thin areas like rock outcroppings where you're most likely to trigger avalanches failing on deep weak layers.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Southerly wind is forming new wind slabs in lee terrain features. Avalanches triggered in wind-loaded terrain have the potential to step down to deeper weak layers, creating larger than expected avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

A weak layer of faceted grains sits near the base of the snowpack. The consequence of triggering this layer is high. Riders are most likely to trigger it where the snowpack is relatively shallow, such as on rocky and wind-affected slopes.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Jan 6th, 2023 4:00PM