Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Glacier.
Recent snow has settled into a cohesive slab which is sensitive to human triggering
Time to practice conservative travel techniques!!
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Just outside the park, explosive avalanche control produced avalanches up to size 3.5 avalanche on Wednesday with notably wide propagation.
On Tuesday Connaught Creek was busy, with reports of people remote-triggering avalanches to sz 2 on Video Pk, 8812 Bowl, Dispatcher Bowl, and Balu Pass shoulder.
Low elevation areas (below 1300m) have significant pinwheeling on the surface. Steep solar slopes are releasing moist/loose avalanches to sz 2 with direct sun.
Snowpack Summary
40cm of heavy storm snow sits on a faceted upper snowpack. Strong to extreme SW winds created windslabs at Alpine and Tree-line elevations.
A weak layer of surface hoar, facets and/or suncrust (Jan 30th) is 50-80cm down. This layer is easy to pick out in the snowpack and is reactive to human loads.
Low elevation zones with a thin snowpack should be treated with caution. The cold, weak facets at the base have undergone rapid change and are now nearly isothermal.
Weather Summary
Feels like spring! Scattered sun and cloud with warm temps are forecast as a weak ridge of high pressure sets up over the region.
Tonight Mainly cloudy. Alp low -4°C. Ridge winds Southwest 35km/hr. FZL 1100m
Thurs Cloudy with flurries. Snow: 2-5cms. Alp high -4°C. Ridge wind SW 25 gusting 60km/hr. FZL 1500m
Fri Mix sun/cloud. Alp high -1°C. Light wind. FZL 1700m
Sat Mix of sun/cloud. Alp high 0°C. Light wind. FZL 1700m
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
- Avoid steep, sun-exposed slopes when the air temperature is warm or when solar radiation is strong.
Avalanche Problems
Persistent Slabs
The new snow overlays a buried persistent weak layer (PWL) that consists on suncrust, facets and/or surface hoar in some locations. Warm temps are promoting the settling of a cohesive, reactive slab on top of this layer. Expect this slab to become more reactive during times of intense solar.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1.5 - 3
Loose Wet
High freezing levels and rain on snow have all contributed to a weak snowpack at lower elevations. No overnight freeze and direct sun will make this problem more reactive.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Below Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2.5