Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 18th, 2019 7:21PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada jfloyer, Avalanche Canada

Forecast updated 12:00 Tuesday.An unusual weak layer makes steep and convex terrain features particularly dangerous.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy, moderate northwest wind, alpine temperatures drop to -6 C.TUESDAY: Cloudy with light flurries, accumulations of 3-8 cm, moderate northwest wind, alpine high temperatures around -3 C.WEDNESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, light north wind, freezing level climbing to 900 m, alpine high temperatures around 0 C.THURSDAY: Mostly sunny, light northeast wind, alpine high temperatures around -2 C.

Avalanche Summary

Storm slab avalanches may still be possible to trigger as they slowly bond to underlying crusts.On Monday, search and rescue responded to an avalanche in the Mount Seymour backcountry. The avalanche occurred on a steep feature at treeline elevation (see photo here). At the time of publishing there limited details about this avalanche.Over the weekend, a few whumpfs and small (size 1) skier triggered avalanches were reported. On Friday, widespread avalanche activity was reported in the North Shore mountains. Ski cutting produced numerous small (size 1) slab avalanches in the top 30 cm of snow, as well a few notable larger avalanches (up to size 2.5). These avalanches showed impressive propagation, with some being triggered remotely (from a distance) and on a few occasions stepping down to a 50 cm deep crust layer.

Snowpack Summary

30-50 cm of recent storm snow is slowly bonding to underlying crust layers. Because of the recent cold temperatures and weak snow around the crusts, storm slabs are expected to take longer than usual to strengthen. New sun crusts may be found near the surface of south-facing aspects, while wind slabs may be found in exposed terrain. The lower snowpack is settled and strong.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
There is a weak layer of facets over a crust buried approximately 50 cm below the surface. Persistent slab problems are unusual for this region. Cautious terrain selection is needed to remain safe.
Avoid travel on open slopes and convex rollsSlopes where the upper snowpack feels denser due to wind or consolidation are most dangerous.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
30-50 cm of recent storm snow may be poorly bonded to crusts.
Use caution above cliffs and terrain traps where small avalanches may have severe consequences.Use caution on open slopes and convex rolls The new snow may require several days to settle and stabilize.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Feb 19th, 2019 2:00PM