Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 7th, 2021 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada ahanna, Avalanche Canada

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New snow and wind will form fresh slabs at upper elevations. A couple of near-surface crusts offer slick sliding surfaces for avalanches. As the storm slab problem gets trickier, the easiest solution is to choose more conservative terrain.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast precipitation (either snow or rain) amounts are uncertain.

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: Rain turning to snow 15-20 cm. Strong southwest wind. Freezing level 1500 m and dropping.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Strong southwest wind. Treeline high temperatures around -5. Freezing level 800 m.

Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. Light northwest wind. Treeline high temperatures around -5. Freezing level 500 m.

Friday: New snow 10-15 cm. Strong southwest wind. Treeline high temperatures around -3. Freezing level 700 m.

Avalanche Summary

No recent reports.

Snowpack Summary

15-20 cm of overnight snow fell amid strong wind, likely loading deeper deposits into lee features at upper elevations. The new snow may sit over a thin lens crust that formed when 10-15 cm of recent snow warmed up on Tuesday. This recent snow may be sitting over a weak layer of surface hoar crystals near or on a thick crust. See photos of the surface hoar before it was buried in this excellent MIN report from Sunday.

Treeline snow depths in advance of the atmospheric river were around 80-100 cm but rain has eroded some of this. Much of treeline and almost all below treeline elevations are still below threshold depths for avalanches.

Terrain and Travel

  • Storm snow and wind is forming touchy slabs. Use caution in lee areas in the alpine and treeline.
  • Be aware of the potential for larger than expected storm slabs due to the presence of buried surface hoar.
  • Keep in mind the crust offers an excellent bed surface for avalanches.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

New snow and wind are forming fresh slabs. Where previous days' snow sits over a weak layer, slab avalanches could be larger than expected and run far on a slippery crust.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Dec 8th, 2021 4:00PM