Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 14th, 2012–Dec 15th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Purcells.

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Monday

Weather Forecast

Overnight and Saturday: A ridge of High pressure is forecast to remain in the region overnight. The next system should move into the region on Saturday morning bringing 5-10 cms of light snow to all elevations combined with strong Southwest winds.Sunday: Continued light snow at all elevations with moderate Westerly winds at higher elevations.Monday: A strong frontal system is forecast to move in from the coast. Expect strong Southerly winds and moderate precipitation amounts.

Avalanche Summary

Some thin soft slab avalanches up to size 1.5 were reported from explosive control work with large charges (heavy load) near Golden.

Snowpack Summary

Some new surface hoar has been reported overnight. Thin windslabs have developed in the alpine and at treeline in exposed terrain. Some loose snow sluffing may be experienced in steep terrain. Snow pit test results continue to show weak layers of surface hoar that was buried during mid and late November, however we have not seen any activity on these layers recently. The early season rain crust is another layer that continues to show results in tests, but has not been active.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.