Avalanche forecast

Central Julian Alps

ARSO
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Avalanche danger

Above treeline
3 · Considerable
Below treeline
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 7 months ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

The current snowpack pattern is uncommon and requires special attention and caution!

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent weak layers

    • Above treeline
  • Wind slab

    • Above treeline

Avalanche Activity

New fallen snow will hide old traps and the danger of avalanches is increasing.

Even a small additional load can trigger a medium-sized avalanche near ridges and other typical leeward locations with blowing snow. Chain avalanches are also possible, where the triggering of a small clast of freshly blown snow causes the collapse of old Weak layers in the snowpack! In some places, the additional load (blowing snow) will naturally trigger cluster avalanches.

Snowpack Structure

Snow is scarce and local conditions are quite variable. A crust has formed on the surface in some places, which in many places also bears the weight of sand. In the osoles, the snowpack is mostly dry, compacted and hard on the surface, and completely cut at depth. Ridges and peaks are in many places blown down to a crusted or icy base. Particularly near the ridges, areas of blown snow have formed, under which the snowpack is thinned.

Snow has been falling on such a surface above about 1000 m since Friday evening with a strong SW wind. New fallen snow will hide the old snowpack and will have little connection with it. New snowdrift accumulations are forming, which naturally put additional stress on the old snow cover, which has deep, persistent weak layers.

Weather Forecast

It will be cloudy and foggy, with snow mainly above 1400 m and occasionally and locally a little lower. 20-30 cm of New fallen snow will fall by the evening. There will be a strong SW wind. It will be around 0 °C at 1500 m and -2 °C at 2000 m.

Tendency

Sunday will be cloudy and foggy with occasional snow, with 20-30 cm of snow still falling, possibly more in some places. The snowfall level will be slightly lower than on Saturday. Monday morning will clear and winds will ease. The danger of Avalanches will remain significant, at level 3.

Bulletin data: Slovenian Environment Agency (ARSO) (via EAWS / avalanche.report)

Regions covered