Avalanche forecast

Central Sierra Nevada

Sierra Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Mon
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
2 · Moderate
Out of date — this forecast expired 5 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Wet loose snow avalanches will become possible today as last night's snow surface refreeze melts away, exposing residual deep wet snow below. Avalanche danger will start out LOW early this morning while the snow surface remains frozen, increasing to MODERATE danger as the frozen surface melts away and deep wet snow develops.

Avalanche problems

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Overnight snow surface refreeze may have been thicker/stronger in the southern half of the forecast area last night than in the northern half. Many but not all southern locations had below freezing overnight air temperatures on the peaks last night. The northern half had more widespread inversion conditions with above freezing air temperatures last night on the peaks and the colder air on the mountain valley floors. In locations where air temperatures were above freezing last night, snow surface refreeze is expected to be strongest on open slopes and weaker and/or thinner under the forest canopy.

    In all areas the snow surface refreeze will be superficial with residual wet snow that did not refreeze last night below a surface crust. Where it was colder, the surface crust will be thicker. Once the surface crust is nearly or completely melted away, the wet snow on the surface will combine with the deeper residual wet snow below it. This will create potentially unstable conditions and allow for the possibility of wet loose snow avalanches. Once the surface crust starts to lose supportability, minimize risk by focusing travel on lower angle sub 30 to 35 degree slopes without steeper slopes above.

    (4/9/2021) Multiple recent wet loose avalanches and some cornice fall. NE aspect terrain along ridgeline connecting Mt. Lincoln to Anderson Pk near Donner Summit, CA.

Avalanche Discussion

* Spring melt-freeze conditions are well established on most E-SE-S-SW-W aspects at all elevations. Superficial melt-freeze crusts and firm surfaces have been reported in the mornings. Observers have seen these crusts melt around mid-morning to mid-day leaving areas of deep wet slushy snow on these aspects for the afternoon.

* Large areas of bare ground have become exposed on many SE-S-SW aspects.

* NW-N-NE aspects are moving increasingly towards established spring melt-freeze conditions. Exceptions still remain where the upper snowpack is somewhere in between crust over winter-like snow and established spring melt-freeze conditions, especially at higher elevations and on steeper slopes that receive less direct sun exposure.

Regions covered