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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 10th, 2012–Feb 11th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Purcells.

Confidence

Fair - Due to variable snowpack conditions

Weather Forecast

A firmly embedded ridge of high pressure over Alberta seems to be causing systems to fizzle once they reach the Columbia Mountains. Although there may be some sunny breaks on Saturday, conditions will be mostly cloudy for the forecast period with trace amounts of snowfall possible each day. Winds will be light and northwesterly with alpine temperatures trending from -7.0 on Saturday to -13.0 by Monday.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches to report.

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack is now generally well settled and riders are feeling increasingly confident in steeper terrain, particularly in areas with a deeper snowpack. Cooling has helped the snowpack to gain considerable strength since the warming last weekend and a crusts have now developed on slopes that saw direct sun. In the south of the region, it is thought that the January 13th surface hoar (buried about 40cm down) may still be reactive in isolated areas. Deep basal facets are widespread throughout the region. In most cases triggering is unlikely and would require a large trigger or a significant rise in temperature. Snowpack depths at 2000m sit at about 2m deep. If you're traveling around the mountains, it's a good time to take stock of current surface conditions (surface hoar/ crusts/ facets) that will become an issue once buried.

Problems

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.