Avalanche forecast

Purcells

Jan 16 – 17, 2016Avalanche Canada
View on map
Archived · expired 11 years ago

Avalanche danger

Mon
Tue
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Conditions vary significantly throughout the region. If you're venturing to deeper snowpack areas on the western side of the region where the avalanche danger may be higher, consider also checking the neighbouring South Columbia bulletin.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–3
    Wind slabs continue to be a concern for human triggering in the alpine and at treeline. Forecast new snow and wind are expected to develop fresh windslabs.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

On Sunday expect light flurries and moderate southwest ridgetop winds. On Sunday night the winds will become strong with 3-5 cm of new snow expected overnight. Light flurries and a mix of sun and cloud are forecast for Monday and Tuesday.Freezing levels should remain at valley bottom for the forecast period. For a more detailed weather overview, check out our Mountain Weather Forecast at avalanche.ca/weather.

Avalanche Summary

Pockets of wind slab to size 1.5 continue to be triggered naturally or under light loads on a variety of aspects in the alpine. Loose dry snow continues to be reported falling naturally from steep terrain up to size 1.5.

Snowpack Summary

Light and dry new snow has been transported into stiff wind slabs that are 10-20 cm deep in the alpine and at treeline.  The upper snowpack is generally loose and unconsolidated in sheltered areas sitting on a mix of surface hoar, facets, and sun crusts that were buried January 4th. Some operations continue to track deeper buried surface hoar from early December. While test results on deeply buried surface hoar continue to show planar results when hard forces are applied, there have not been any avalanches reported failing on this layer. I have removed the persistent weak layer problem from the front page, and we will continue to monitor reports from operators in this region. The mid and lower snowpack is generally well settled and strong.

Regions covered