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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 29th, 2012–Jan 30th, 2012

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Northwest Coastal.

Confidence

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Sunday should see a slight cooling trend we expect the snowfall to end on Monday morning. A zonal flow is forecast through Wednesday with moderate to strong westerly winds and short-lived disturbances delivering 5 to 10 cm of snow each day, especially on the west (upslope) side of the ranges. Freezing level should remain near valley floors. Wednesday could see heavier precipitation once the next major system hits the coast; however current thinking is this will not happen until Wednesday evening.

Avalanche Summary

Natural avalanches from low elevation avalanche paths were reported Saturday, as were small slides in the storm snow from outside the highway corridor. No reports for Sunday. Poor visibility is limiting field observations.

Snowpack Summary

Professionals around Terrace are losing track of storm snow amounts, in part because their automatic stations are buried by the 5 plus metre snowpack. Winds with the storm mean wind slabs on lee and cross-loaded terrain. Most snowpack concerns are limited to the surface layers, however deeper in the snowpack are a couple of layers of old facets & maybe a crust which still POP in stability tests at treeline and below treeline elevations in cutblocks and roadbanks.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.