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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 4th, 2014–Feb 5th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Forecasters are still uncomfortable with the basal weakness in large and steep Alpine features, particularly on North aspects. The probability of triggering a slide is low, but consequences remain high.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Continued cold temperatures with a range of -32 to -23 for the next 24hrs. Winds will be light to moderate from the North, pushing wind chill values to the extreme. No precipitation is expected for at least the next several days.

Avalanche Summary

Nothing new.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 1cm of new snow overnight. Surface facetting. Sun crusts are present at all elevations on solar aspects and are remaining frozen through the day due to frigid temperatures. Alpine and treeline areas are highly variable in snow cover and condition, but wind slabs dominate the landscape. Basal weaknesses remain.

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.