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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 10th, 2012–Feb 11th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Low does not mean no! Avalanches can still happen at LOW so use cautions as you travel. Stability will det'r in the heat of the day so keep an eye on the temps. Avoid thin, steep rocky terrain, especially on N aspects. Weekly update on Facebook.

Confidence

Good - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Partly cloudy conditions persist for Saturday with generally light winds. Temperatures will continue to be mild but unfortunately, no new snow is in the forecast for the next 48hrs.

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanche activity was observed over the past 24hrs.

Snowpack Summary

Melt freeze crust on steep solar aspects up to 2900m. This crust is up to 3cm thick in some areas. Widespread SH growth in all areas except steep solar. On Friday, SH up to 10mm big was found standing up tall and not at all affected by winds at 2500m on a col on the W side of Heros knob. This layer will be a large concern when it gets buried by snowfalls later this week.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.