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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 11th, 2019–Mar 12th, 2019
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Columbia.

New snow falling Monday into Monday night has promoted storm and wind slab development. The north part of the region may have received more snow than is indicated. If local amounts are higher than indicated the danger may be Considerable.

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Weather Forecast

MONDAY Night: Snow, accumulation 5-15 cm / moderate southwest wind / alpine temperature -8 CTUESDAY: A mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries / light northwest wind / alpine temperature -5 C / freezing level 1200 m WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with sunny periods / light to moderate west wind / alpine temperature -8 C / freezing level 900 mTHURSDAY: Cloudy with sunny periods / light southwest wind / alpine temperature - 7 C / freezing level 1000 m

Avalanche Summary

Reports on Saturday and Sunday. include several natural and human triggered storm slab, loose dry and wind slab avalanches to size 1.5. On Sunday there was a skier triggered size 2 persistent slab avalanche on a west aspect at 2300m in the north part of the region as well as a remotely triggered (from a distance) size 3 avalanche on a southwest aspect in the alpine. The second avalanche was in the south part of the region. Both of these were suspected to have run on a layer of facets.There was also a report of a remotely triggered size 2 persistent slab avalanche on a north aspect at 2300m in the south of the region on Saturday. It was suspected to have run on a buried layer of facets.

Snowpack Summary

20-45 cm of recent storm snow is sitting mainly on wind slabs and facets (sugary snow), as well as surface hoar (feathery crystals) in sheltered areas and a crust on sun exposed slopes. There are two weak layers of surface hoar in the upper snowpack that were buried in late January and early February. They can be found between 40-90 cm below the surface. These layers consist primarily of surface hoar, though they may be associated with crusts on steeper, south facing slopes. These weak layers are most prominent on south facing slopes and all aspects below treeline. Avalanche activity on these layers has declined in recent days, however it may still be possible to trigger an avalanche in isolated areas such as steep cutblocks, large open glades, and steep south facing terrain.The lower snowpack is generally considered to be strong, except for shallow, rocky areas where the cold temperatures continue to facet (weaken) the snowpack.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

New snow falling with moderate to strong southwest winds has to built thin storm slabs and promoted windslab development in the lee of exposed terrain features.
Be cautious of sluffing in steep terrain.Use caution around wind loaded pockets near ridge crests and roll-overs.Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2