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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 1st, 2021–Jan 2nd, 2021
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Kananaskis.

Conditions are starting to change! Fresh windslabs were building on Friday and with the forecasted storm this weekend we can expect avalanche danger to increase due to new snow and winds. 

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

5cm of new snow is forecast overnight with strong winds and warming temperatures. Then later on Saturday the main body of the front starts to move in giving us 20-30cm of new snow with continues strong winds out of the SW. This will likely trigger an avalanche with the arrival of the main front so pay close attention to timing of the new snow. 

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed on Friday but conditions were obscured for the better part of the day. 

Snowpack Summary

Winds on Friday were increasing and as s result we were seeing more pronounced windslabs development in the region especially in the alpine and into treeline. Our Snowpack mainly consist of generations of windslabs overlying a relatively strong mid pack with the Basal November rain crust at the lower elevations. For december it has been a fairly stable snowpack with the windslabs in the upper snowpack as the primary concern but that is all likely to change with the incoming storm. As we did pre Christmas, we are expecting to see avalanches in the upper snowpack and the possibility of the basal facets and November crust becoming overloaded and failing triggering large avalanches. 

Terrain and Travel

  • Avoid areas where the snow feels stiff and/or slabby.
  • Pay attention to the wind, once it starts to blow fresh sensitive wind slabs are likely to form.
  • Avoid thin areas like rock outcroppings where you're most likely to trigger avalanches failing on deep weak layers.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New winslabd are building into the Alpine and at treeline with the arrival of the front. These windslabs are in more specific places at treeline like gullies and unsupported features

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

This layer may reawaken with the new load anticipated over the next few days. 

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5