Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Purcells.
Confidence
Moderate - Due to the number of field observations
Weather Forecast
We'll see little change in the weather pattern: valley cloud and cool temperatures down low but sunny and warm up high. SUNDAY: Cloudy with sunny breaks. Light to moderate south-west winds. Freezing level near 1700 m.MONDAY: Sunny with cloudy periods. Light wind. Freezing level near 3000 m with a colder air layer in the valleys. Alpine high temperatures near +3.TUESDAY: Sunny with increasing cloud in the afternoon. Light wind. Freezing level near 2000 m with a colder air layer in the valleys.
Avalanche Summary
Over the past few days there have been small wet loose avalanches reported on steep south (west) aspects above 2400m elevation. A previous wind slab cycle has slowed down over the last few days.
Snowpack Summary
Warm temperatures up high will melt and weaken upper snowpack layers, particularly on steep sunny slopes. Warming also has the potential to wake up more deeply buried crust layers. Recently formed wind slabs are gaining strength, but may still be found in the lee of ridges and terrain breaks. Below tree line, the snowpack is shallow--look out for early season hazards like open creeks and tree stumps.
Avalanche Problems
Loose Wet
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2