Avalanche Forecast

High - Confidence is due to a stable weather pattern; little change is expected for several days.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear, 30 km/h wind from the northeast, alpine temperatures drop to -12 C.

FRIDAY: Sunny, light wind from the northeast, alpine high temperatures around -6 C.

SATURDAY: Sunny, light wind, alpine high temperatures around -6 C.

SUNDAY: Sunny with increasing cloud in the afternoon, light wind from the west, alpine high temperatures around -6 C. 

A few small (size 1) naturally triggered avalanches were reported over the past few days. The main concern for human triggering is currently in areas where wind has blown surface snow into unstable wind slabs.

Recent wind from the southeast has likely left wind slabs on north and east facing slopes at higher elevations. The snow from last weekend appears to have settled and gained strength, as shown by this MIN report from the Shames area on Wednesday. A total of 30-80 cm of settled snow from last weekend sits above a widespread crust. The snow has likely bonded to this crust, however given the lack of field observations there is still some uncertainty about whether this could be an interface capable of producing large avalanches. The total snowpack depth is around 100 cm at 1200 m, and is still below the threshold for avalanches in many areas below treeline.